Preview: Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspurs
When Antonio Conte and his Spurs side face Chelsea this Sunday, it’ll be all about pride. They’ve failed to beat Chelsea in 11 straight games (in regulation time) and the Blues would be aiming to make that a dozen. The visitors opened the season with a 4-1 win at home to Southampton and they didn’t even need Harry Kane or Son Heung-min to get on the scoresheet. Those 4 goals made it 14 goals in their last 5 games, an average of 2.8 goals per game in that period and placed them at the top of the Premier League table at this early stage.
In addition to this deadly attack, new signing Richarlison will be available for selection after serving a one-game suspension. Since the front 3 of Kulusevski, Son & Kane are performing at very high levels, Conte will not want to risk messing with the chemistry especially not in a derby against his former employers.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have shown they have no problem with beating former employees. They started their season with an away win against Frank Lampard’s Everton, thanks to Jorginho’s penalty. All 3 new signings (Koulibaly, Sterling & Cucurella) made appearances with Koulibaly arguably the best player on the pitch as he provided a solid presence in the heart of Chelsea’s defence and played the pass that led to the penalty Jorginho scored.
Both teams mirror each other tactically with 3-defenders at the back and a heavy reliance on the creativity coming from the wings and not necessarily the middle of the park. It wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if either one of Chillwell, Reece James, Ivan Perisic, Kulusevski or Emerson Royal pops up with a goal/assist just like Ryan Sessegnon and Kulusevski did last weekend.
Historically, Chelsea have dominated this fixture with 35 wins compared to Tottenham’s 10 wins. 16 draws round up the 61 total H2H games in this fixture. That dominance has continued in recent years. The Blues have won the last 5 competitive games in this fixture and have kept a clean sheet in the last 6.
Chelsea 2 – 0 Tottenham Hotspurs (23rd January 2022)
Tottenham Hotspurs 0 – 1 Chelsea (12th January 2022)
Chelsea 2 – 0 Tottenham Hotspurs (5th January 2022)
Tottenham Hotspurs 0-3 Chelsea (1 September 2021)
Tottenham Hotspurs 0-1 Chelsea (4 February 2021)
Chelsea 0-0 Tottenham Hotspurs (29 November. 2020)
Chelsea: Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 5 Premier League games with 3 wins & 2 clean sheets in that period (W-W-D-W-D).
Tottenham Hotspurs: Spurs are on a 4-game winning streak in the EPL with Liverpool the only side to stop them from winning in the last five games. This is incredible form going into the London Derby (W-W-W-W-D).
Chelsea: Mateo Kovačić, Conor Gallagher & new signing Marc Cucurella are options if a reshuffle is needed but Thomas Tuchel is likely going to line up the same way he did at Everton.
Starting XI: Édouard Mendy; Kalidou Koulibaly, Thiago Silva, César Azpilicueta; Ben Chilwell, Jorginho, N’Golo Kante, Reece James; Raheem Sterling, Kai Havertz, Mason Mount (3-4-3)
Tottenham Hotspurs: Spurs looked fantastic on the opening day despite conceding the first goal and I don’t expect Antonio Conte to rock the boat by making many changes to his starting lineup. New signing Richarlison will be available after serving his suspension but he’s likely to be on the bench for this one.
Starting XI: Hugo Lloris; Eric Dier. Cristian Romero, Ben Davies; Emerson Royal, Rodrigo Bentancur, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Ivan Perisic; Dejan Kulusevski, Son Heung-min, Harry Kane (3-4-2-1)
Édouard Mendy (Chelsea): Chelsea have kept 6 straight clean sheets against Spurs, but Tottenham are also the Premier League side with the deadliest attack in 2022 scoring 51 goals since January. If Chelsea are to extend their fantastic derby record, Mendy would have to be in top form.
Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspurs): Last year’s joint Golden Boot winner will fancy himself on the scoresheet after a comparatively quiet opening weekend. With Spurs failing to score in the last 6 games against Chelsea, he’ll feel like it’s his responsibility to break that unwanted streak.
Since losing to Man City last September, Chelsea have scored in each of their 16 home games in the league.
Spurs haven’t scored in their past 6 meetings with Chelsea; the only time in club history they’ve failed to score against an opponent in 6 straight attempts.
Spurs have scored more goals (51) than any other Premier League side in 2022.
Dejan Kulusevski has assisted 9 goals in the Premier League since his debut in February, the most of any player in that time.
Since the start of last season, only Liverpool (21) have earned more points from losing positions than Tottenham (17) in the Premier League.
Home Clean sheet: If you think Chelsea will continue their impressive streak and keep a 7th consecutive clean sheet against Spurs, that’s priced at 3.15.
First Goal Method: In their last 5 games against Spurs, Chelsea Center-backs have found the net 4 times. If you fancy a Chelsea defender to open the scoring from a Header, it’s a mouth-watering 5.50.
Home To Win Either Halves: At 1.67, this might be the pick of the game. All the Blues have to do is win a half and you’re in luck.
Match Bookings: With Conte’s side predicted to be the more aggressive side, you could bet on them picking up more cards than Chelsea at 2.10. However, if you believe Tuchel’s men would be more aggressive, there’s a slightly higher 2.20 to pick.
Totals Away Team (2.5): While Chelsea have yet to concede a goal to Spurs in 6 games, Spurs remain the deadliest EPL side in 2022 and are averaging 2.82 goals in their last 5 games as earlier discussed. The odds of them not only scoring but maintaining their scoring form by doing so 3 times or more is priced at 7.00. Might be worth a punt.